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InfectionSource selector for how infection is spread The simulation should be setup and run repeatedly, thus creating a data set of peaks that can be analyzed used a statistical inference on a hypothesis of a particular disease vector. One key difference is the peak number in the hospital, and it is this peak that is most affected by the 3 different interventions.
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There are many subtle differences between the hospital plots for the four possible vectors. Once they recover, they leave the hospital. The HOSPITAL COUNTS plot shows the number of patients (symptomatic individuals who have wandered into the hospital). YOU WILL NEED TO SETUP AGAIN AFTER ENACTING AN INTERVENTION! 5. iii) PROVIDE BOTTLED WATER provides some – but not all! – of the villagers with sterile water. Ii) PROVIDE STERILIZED MEALS provides some – but not all! – of the villagers with sterile food. I) REDUCE MOSQUITOS reduces the mosquito population. Press the GO button to begin the simulation.This will generate an epidemic with one of the 7 sources above (and same epidemic for each 5 digit key). Enter a 5 digit number (and hit the enter key after doing so).The plot counts ONLY those who are in the hospital – others may be ill and simply have not yet gone to the hospital. The hospital houses the symptomatic until they recover 72 hours, on average, after becoming symptomatic. When they do become symptomatic, they head for the hospital. Something infects an uninfected individual, but they don’t become symptomatic for 24 hours, on average. All the while, black mosquitos are flying around, including in and out of the houses. In the simulation, the human inhabitants of the village sleep for 8 hours in their houses, after which they make their way to the river for water, eat 3 times a day (food not shown), and wander about doing their daily activities. Can you determine which of the 4 possible sources are responsible for the epidemic associated with that numerical key. Set up and run the simulation repeatedly varying whether or not you reduce the mosquito population, supplement the villagers’ food supply with sterile meals, or supplement the villagers’ water supply with sterile water. (4) By being bitten by flying insects like mosquitos.įor simplicity, we have omitted the possible vectors of breathing airborne infectious agents, being bitten by crawling insects like ticks, and living in an unsanitary situation.Įnter a 5-digit numerical key. (1) By direct contact with infected humans. Epidemics break out, and scientists like Charles Louis Alphonse Laveran, Ronald Ross, Carlos Finlay, and Walter Reed are trying to determine their cause. Here is a village somewhere in the world sometime near the end of the 1800’s.
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